The 166th version of UFC Fight Night comes rolling onto tobacco road with a 12 fight card the should deliver some under the radar exciting fights. After all of the hype surrounding UFC 246 it's only natural to feel like this card is the red-headed step child, but below the surface, this card isn't all that bad.
From a betting perspective we've found that this card has presented us with some serious value on some dog plays. Out of the 7 straight & prop bets that we are recommending, 4 of them have odds of +200 or higher! It should be a fun night, and could turn out to be HUGE night if things go the way we expect them to.
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Enough of the fluffing. Let's get on to the free bet for UFC Fight Night 166: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos.
UFC FN 166 - FREE BET
Montel Jackson comes in as the biggest favorite on the card (-670). I'm not sure if this is more due to Jackson's talents, Colares' skill level, or a combination of the two. Regardless, Jackson has a very favorable matchup here. Jackson is a rangy, athletic wrestler who's learning how to strike. 6 of his 8 wins have come before the final bell, and he's coming off of two impressive performances under the UFC banner after he opened his promotional career with a decision loss to Ricky Simon.
Colares' clear path to victory in this one is to get this fight to the mat in order to neutralize Jackson's striking advantage, but that is much easier said than done. Colares isn't much of a wrestler, and he usually secures his takedowns via the clinch. The problem with this approach is that Jackson is the better wrestler, is quicker, stronger, and more athletic. Jackson should be able to dictate where this fight takes place, and he'd prefer to keep this at range and out-strike the Brazilian from the outside.
Once Colares' realizes that his gameplan is junk, and that he's outclassed by Jackson in the striking department, he'll find himself looking for a way out. Jackson's athleticism, superior striking, and ability to keep the fight standing will allow him to open up his striking game, hunting for the kill, and eventually getting it within the first 2 rounds.
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